Well, I was thinking about targeting some and I had some thoughts that led me to start working on a new gun. Firstly, most log-based guns like
'traditional'-DC,
TronsGun, and
traditional-PM have different ways of finding/rating similar situations in a log. The two main styles are:
And each style tends to excel in different areas, but really, why not combine them? In my new gun, I attempt to make a hybrid using the following method:
- 1. Use a normal KDTree to find candidates for similar situations, like a normal DC gun.
- 2. For each situation, step back through the logs to see the closeness of the match over a number of ticks
- 3. Use the following weighting algorithm:
- w = 1/(1+a) + 1/((1+a)*(1+b)) + 1/((1+a)*(1+b)*(1+c)) + ...
- Where "a" is the distance between the current situation, "b" is the distance between situations in the tick prior, and so forth.
This means that it will look for strong matches to the situation this tick like a DC-style gun does, but is also aware of temporal patterns like a PM-style gun. In order to adjust it's sensitivity temporal matches, you can use a multiplier on the distance values (a higher multiplier will mean it will care about old situation matches less).
So this looks sounds like a pretty nice hybrid situation matching to me, so what is needed next? Some kind of prediction based on the situations of course. So what styles are normally in use? Well, I'd say:
Each of which excels against different movement classes. So why not have both? So I'm combining the following prediction methods using
CrowdTargeting:
- Absolute "Play-it-forward" (The most common kind)
- Wave-Relative "Play-it-forward" (A special type, that's relative to the wave origins you'd expect a typical surfer to move relative to)
- GuessFactor prediction
A combination that I think would quite effectively deal with most things out there really. So far I have the data-logging/storage code done, and am working on the code to find the DC/PM hybrid matches, and then predict based on them.
As for the name... Well... I think this gun kind of is a 'singularity' of DC, PM, "Play-it-forward", and GuessFactor techniques. =)
Any comments/questions? =) -- Rednaxela
I like it, I have some similar ideas of extending/modifying my DC gun. And it's something I could try without much coding. Most of my latest attempts at improving my gun have been in the "multiple choice" part, your "PM on the DC log" sounds like a good thing to try next. :) -- ABC
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